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Ask the Experts: Is Google Trends a Good Keyword Research Tool? ask the experts

Ask the Experts: Is Google Trends a Good Keyword…

  • October 6, 2006
  • by Gradiva Couzin

Q: How do you feel about using Google Trends as a tool for search term relevance and popularity?

A: Google Trends is a tool that allows you to compare the popularity for up to five keywords or phrases over a period of time. I think it’s a great idea, and I have played around with it during keyword reseach, but I haven’t yet found a way to make it useful in that way. There’s nothing wrong with Google Trends – it just isn’t trying to be a keyword research tool. It might seem premature to pick apart something that’s in early beta, because it may change at any time. But Google Trends is free, so I’m guessing that if you and I have thought of using it as a keyword research tool, then other folks are considering the same thing. Let’s see how it measures up.

The first thing to note is that, at this time, Google is only using a portion of its search results in the calculation of its trend data. So, it’s important not to put too much stock in the results you get.

Now, let’s look at some sample results. Here, I looked for a correlation between the words “halloween” and “candy” by entering the query: “Halloween, candy”:

My first impression is that Google Trends keeps too much important data hidden to be meaningful in keyword research. A keyword research tool has to give you some hard data so that you can make an educated guess about what’s worth your time and energy to target on your site. Google Trends displays a vague timeline, and gives you no indication of the number of searches that you’re looking at. The lowest point is labeled “0”, but what’s the top? 100? 100,000? Without that information I can’t act on what I see.

This is most confusing when you’re looking at two words with significantly different search volumes.  In my “Halloween, Candy” example, I see the spike I expect around the same time of every year displayed for the word “Halloween” but not for “candy.”  So I searched both words separately. The graph for “Halloween” looked about the same, but the graph for “candy” looked much different when viewed by itself. It was much easier to see separate peaks and valleys, presumably because the scale had been altered when this term was displayed on its own.

Another strike against Google Trends as a serious keyword research tool is that it doesn’t offer any keyword suggestions. For example, I queried: “Halloween, horror DVD”. Again, the spike for “Halloween” was clearly seen. But there was no corresponding spike for “horror dvd.” Because I’d already done keyword research elsewhere, I knew that the term “horror movie” is more popular than “horror dvd,” so I changed my search to “Halloween, horror movie.” There, I saw a nice correlation. Without built-in help from Google Trends, I had to rely on my own knowledge and prior research to find the significant trend.

And one more problem: Google Trends isn’t clear enough about how it’s filtering the terms you enter. Is it looking for exact matches of your terms? Is it returning data on broader terms that contain the phrase you entered? I played around by refining my query, for example, searching for variations on “emmy, red carpet”, using various configurations of quotes and plurals, and I was able to get different results.  Google Trends also offers some helpful advice on advanced functionality, which includes some non-standard operators, such as the vertical bar. This is fun, but still I have the distinct feeling that I’m playing “guess the algorithm.” Again, there’s nothing wrong with that; it just isn’t great for serious keyword research!

It remains to be seen whether Google will continue its slow takeover of the world by making Google Trends into a robust free keyword research tool. But what can you use it for now? Well, Google Trends could be useful when you’re trying to nail down the timeframe of a seasonal word (i.e. should I start my Christmas promotion in October or December?). At this point in time, I think the best use of Google Trends for SEO purposes – other than fun – is to confirm a trend that you were pretty sure about in the first place.

Ask the Experts: How do I Manage Client Expectations for SEO? ask the experts

Ask the Experts: How do I Manage Client Expectations…

  • September 11, 2006
  • by Gradiva Couzin

Q: How do I best communicate to the owner that – especially in the begining – my work will take time and after that it will take time to get serious results?

I have been “The SEO person” at a university for the past 5 years where I increased traffic 1000% and enrollments about 50% each term. Now I’m on my own as a professional SEO and I’m concerned about my new client’s expectations.

I am to present a Phase One marketing plan soon, and if he approves I plan to begin implementation of some SEO and SEM.

He is expecting online sales revenue to increase almost immediately and in lock step with any increases in traffic. I hope this occurs but due to many issues with the site, combined with time it takes to perform and execute a professional SEO project, these increases may not occur any time soon, and may not be of the magnitude they are wanting.

A: This certainly is a difficult situation!

Our “managing expectations” spiel for prospective clients goes something like this: SEO requires patience. Ranks can’t be guaranteed. Your ability to sell your product depends on things like competition, the effectiveness of your website, the market itself, and oh, the quality of your product.

Of course, these are the things that should be communicated prior to entering the client/SEO relationship. If you wait too long to have this discussion (as you’re probably well aware) they may come off sounding like excuses.

We may not have any iron-clad solutions, but here are some suggestions:

First of all, we noticed a red flag in your question. You wrote:

“I increased traffic 1000% and enrollments about 50% each term.”

This is amazing – but it’s a heck of a statement to make. To be honest, even if we could boast similar stats, we would be very careful about saying it in this way to a prospective client. In our book we caution people not to take credit for successes because in a lot of ways, SEOs are not fully responsible for success. There are just too many factors out there that we don’t have control over. So this might be why your client is expecting you to bring about miraculous sales in record time. Just something to think about for the next customer you’re trying to land.

Since your client is set on hitting a particular sales number, there’s probably not much you can do to change his outlook. But you can make sure that your marketing plan is clear about what you can and cannot do for him. Here are ideas for doing that:

  • Make sure you’re documenting ALL the “uglies” – anything and everything that detracts from your client’s brand. Bad looking listings in the SERPs, old or broken URLs out there, outdated directory listings.
  • Make sure you’re documenting all the “missed opportunities” that you uncover in the logs – of course this will depend on the business itself, but it might include an unusually high number of visits to the 404 page, or a lack of referrals from a particular source, or even something like “No visitors arrived at our site by searching for our top priority keyword X”.
  • If applicable, show in numbers why existing targeted keywords should be phased out and replaced with a more effective set.

For all these uglies, missed opportunities, and missed targets – as well as the robot barriers and usability issues you’re researching – set up a list of realistic expectations for the next X months. Something like “Removal of all broken URLs from search engine listings” or “X% increase in referrals from widget-related sites.”

Then, for all the expected improvements, you can document how this will help your client’s sales. For example, “Will increase targeted visitors,” or “Will encourage visitors to find the products page,” or even “Will improve customer satisfaction.” – you get the idea.

So, think of it as a three column list. Column one: Improvements needed. Column two: realistic expectations for improvement in X months. Column three: How this will improve sales. And be brief or he’ll never read it.

In our opinion, you really can’t guarantee that you’ll improve sales by X percent, but you can guarantee that you’ll knock off a large list of well-thought-out activities for encouraging more sales. If he can’t agree that this is a realistic plan, then you can either end the relationship or keep your fingers crossed, keep doing a good job, and hope the numbers go where you want.

By the way, if you’re looking for more insight on this topic, Jill Whalen talks a lot about realistic SEO expectations on her site, www.highrankings.com.

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